What is the water coming from: above or below?
The direction the water approaches the ceiling from determines whether the problem is the roof, a higher floor, or something wrong with the ceiling itself. Water that soaked the insulation above the ceiling came from above. Water that seeped up through the drywall from below came from below.
Looking in the attic or opening the cavity settles the question fast. If the insulation is dry, the leak is not from the roof. If the joist is dry, the water did not come from a burst pipe above. If the insulation is soaked, the water came from above, and a roofer needs to look for the leak point.
Does the whole ceiling have to come out?
Not unless it is all soaked and has lost strength. Often a small inspection cut or opening is enough to reach the cavity above and position drying equipment. Drywall that is still firm is usually left in place; only the soaked or weakened portion is removed.
A large stain can mean a small leak that has been slow for months, because the insulation above holds water and releases it slowly down into the ceiling below. Meter readings on the drywall and the cavity determine what is actually wet rather than just what looks bad.
What happens if the source is in a shared wall or the unit above?
In a condo, that is a conversation between the two units, the building management and the two insurance companies. Your documentation of the damage in your own ceiling goes to your insurer. The damage in your neighbor's space is your neighbor's to claim, and whose liability it is depends on whose leak it was.
A burst supply line in a shared wall should not have happened, but it did. The building's master policy and the individual unit policies all get involved. Start by documenting what is in your unit and calling your own insurer. See condo and multifamily water damage for how the response splits between units and the building.
Why does a ceiling go from stain to sag so fast?
Because water in drywall is weight. A sheet of drywall that is thoroughly soaked is heavier, and the nails and screws that hold it up lose their grip. A joist that is saturated loses strength and sags, and the ceiling follows it.
This is why a soft spot or a sag is a sign to call immediately. A ceiling that is sagging is on the edge of failure, and the weight of water plus the weight of accumulated insulation can bring it down. Until the cavity is dry, the ceiling should not be walked on and furniture should not be stored under it.
How long does a ceiling cavity take to dry?
Most take five to fourteen days of equipment running, depending on how much insulation was wet and how tight the cavity is. A flat attic with good ventilation dries faster than a closed cathedral ceiling or a crawl space where the cavity is tight.
Meter readings on the insulation, the joist and the drywall are logged each visit. When those match a dry reference point in an unaffected room, the cavity is ready for the ceiling to be patched or replaced.